The College Information War
Every year in the United States seniors in high school begin filling out forms and writing essays for their undergraduate applications. The process has been historically increasing in complexity with time. Today it is so hard to understand that there are entire industries based around manipulating applicants by offering help or preparation. Generally it is a pervasive problem with few exceptions, one that proves to be a great stressor in the lives of students, parents, and administrators. But from the perspective of economics and game-theory, it makes perfect sense.
There is an information war going on, with college institutions trying to pick the best applicants, and high schools attempting to place their students in the best colleges. Colleges want effective students, and high schools want the best reputation they can muster because money and flexibility comes with it. With the two forces having mutually exclusive goals, the only result can be rising inefficiency as both sides of the fight increase their ability to foil the other’s tactics.
Colleges, in order to pick the best applicants efficiently, want their comparisons between students to be as standardized as possible, especially the metric systems they use such as transcripts, standardized tests, essays, and applicant procedures. High schools, on the other hand, want to individualize and separate its students from their own class and other high schools as much as possible.
Grade Point Average is probably the most straightforward metric for predicting future success. And today, it has been rendered almost completely incomparable between high schools by their own systems. Factors that play into comparing GPAs include: whether each high school uses a credit or pure average system, whether there is honors weighting, there is AP/IB weighting, the specific type of weighting systems used (an admissions officer from one elite eastern college told me they receive over 35 different systems at the last count), the type of original grading system used, grade inflation, the classes’ valedictorian’s score, and even the distribution of the original grades. The proliferation of all these factors may not be deliberate actions to trip colleges up, but rather the attempt of high schools to “set themselves” and their students apart.
Colleges responded to GPA differentiation by asking for a class rank of students, along with the class size. This removes inconsistencies from comparing students in-class, and most of the problems with comparing applicant between high schools. This provides a disadvantage to high schools trying to place their students: only 45% of high schools provide the metric to colleges.
Standardized testing: SAT and ACT, SAT II, AP/IB. Almost all of it has been shown to provide rather unpredictable correlation to college and adult success. High schools quickly adopt new standardized tests while colleges try to resist using new ones, to encourage consolidation into one test (the SAT is predominant, but losing market share and respectability to the ACT). Colleges recently have begun weighting standardized tests heavier when no class rank is provided, further complicating the choice high schools have to making in what to provide and encourage to their student body.
The common application is an interesting apparent exception to the rule. It allows students to fill out one unified application and submit it to each college, which reduces the stress and amount of work required overall to apply to college. However, this increased efficiency in the path of the never-ending decrease in efficiency is a sign that someone is beating the other team: the colleges hid their normal tactics in a wrapper of helping applicants. The common application is actually a detriment to applicants: it makes it more difficult for an applicant to tailor each of his applications to specific colleges with the information he has about their admissions process. Not only that, but it not only guarantees consistent information like race to be provided to all colleges, but also encourages applicants to conform to formulaic responses to standardized questions, such as the activities a applicant regularly participates in, and personal essay questions that it provides, such as:
Evaluate a significant experience, achievement, risk you have taken, or ethical dilemma you have faced and its impact on you.
There are multiple prompts that can be chosen for the personal essay, including “Topic of your choice”. Nevertheless, undoubtedly this format encourages similar responses.
The college application process appears to be an closed-information game in which there is no apparent possibly evolutionary-stable equilibrium and therefore students should pray for the process to be as difficult and time-consuming as possible—because this inefficiency is most likely a sign of neither side getting the upper-hand, and it is very likely for high schools to ever gain the advantage considering their excess of government and managerial bureaucracy.
